The Intelligence Explosion: Are We Ready for the AI Takeoff?

The concept of an intelligence explosion is a cornerstone of superintelligence theory. It describes a scenario where an AI system capable of self-improvement rapidly enhances its own intelligence, creating a feedback loop that accelerates growth beyond human control.

Two key factors govern this process: optimization power — how much effort the AI puts into improving itself, and recalcitrance — how difficult it is to make those improvements. When optimization power is high and recalcitrance low, intelligence can skyrocket in days or weeks.

Takeoff speed matters greatly. A slow takeoff over decades might allow society to adapt gradually, while a fast takeoff could catch us unprepared, making control and alignment much harder.

Beyond machines, biological enhancements and collective intelligence may influence or accelerate the process, adding complexity to the future landscape.

Preparing for such a transformative event requires foresight, coordination, and investment in safety research. Without it, the intelligence explosion could lead to outcomes ranging from unprecedented prosperity to existential catastrophe.